Pennsylvania Democrat

The results of applying rational thinking to political problems

Cost of the War in Iraq
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War on Drugs: Wasted Resources

Friday, May 28, 2004

Presidential Election Prediction

John Kerry on the Issues

George W. Bush on the Issues

Analysis: Kerry is more electable by his own party because of his liberal stance. However, this makes for an uphill battle in gaining the conservative Republican vote. Bush is more electable by liberals because of his moderate stance. However, his more conservative cabinet members detract from this moderate image, decreasing the effect. This also means that he does not represent his party well.

My Prediction: Kerry will win, but without a clear mandate.